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Machine Learning Firm Dynamics: Failure, Success, and Growth

Incerti, Fabio (2025) Machine Learning Firm Dynamics: Failure, Success, and Growth. Advisor: Riccaboni, Prof. Massimo. pp. 204. [IMT PhD Thesis]

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Abstract

The thesis explores the application of cutting-edge, tree-based machine-learning techniques to analyze and predict the dynamics of firm failure, success, and growth. It is structured around three key areas: the detection of non-viable firms, the analysis of factors driving the future success of startups, and the examination of firm growth dynamics while addressing methodological limitations. Given the endemic missingness affecting firm-level data—often highly informative in prediction—particular attention is dedicated to the handling and usage of missing values within predictive frameworks. By integrating predictive analytics with empirical insights, the thesis seeks to enhance understanding and transparency in firm dynamics, offering insights for both academic research and practical applications.

Item Type: IMT PhD Thesis
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
PhD Course: Economics, Networks and Business Analytics
Identification Number: https://doi.org/10.13118/imtlucca/e-theses/455
Date Deposited: 16 Jul 2025 08:25
URI: http://e-theses.imtlucca.it/id/eprint/455

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